There are no respected senior military figures who utter unbiased opinions.
From the evidence, I suggest this scenario.
Since 1996 the FBI has been selling US nuclear 'secrets' through the State Department to ambitious Middle East buyers. Of course, the 'secrets' are bogus.
The Americans figured the buyers would never make a serious effort to build the secret weapons. Only the Iranians in 2003 had carried the plans to the point they detected the fraud. The Iranians abandoned the program [NIE] not eager to disclose how the US had duped them.
The Administration hopes they can use the bogus information as a future false flag operation to start bombing the nuclear facilities.
The President has just announced the September 2007 Israeli air raid took out a potential Syrian nuclear reactor in the desert. The Israeli action might have been an experiment to gauge future world reaction. If the Syrians were entirely innocent in this operation, they would have howled to high heaven.
My screenplay on this scenario is in second draft. After Bush nukes Iran, the film could be a boffo box office hit.
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